finance

Green Mountain Power Faces Performance Benchmarks

Vermont PSB continues alternative regulation plan

Weekly Update Courtesy of Utility Regulatory News #3969: Endorsing the price cap form of regulation for an electric utility, the Vermont Public Service Board has determined that the utility had been able to strengthen its financial position as a result of its alternative regulation plan (ARP).

The board found that the utility, Green Mountain Power Corp., had instituted an ARP that was in the best interests of its ratepayers and that the ARP, as compared to traditional cost-of-service rate making, allows the utility to respond more quickly and effectively to changes in operating costs. Nevertheless, the board agreed that some updating was needed. To that end, the board authorized both the retention of the salient features of the utility’s existing ARP and the addition of certain new provisions. One of the terms kept from the current plan is an annual adjustment to the utility’s rate of return on equity (ROE) based on yields from 10-year Treasury notes. However, the new plan offers a revised performance-based adjustment for ROE, under which Green Mountain Power’s efficiency and productivity will be measured against a benchmark group of utilities. The updated ARP also includes an inflation-adjusted capping mechanism for non-power costs, whereas the existing plan relied on a fixed dollar ceiling for such costs.

The board deemed the ARP changes appropriate given the collective experience of electric utilities operating under ARPs in the state. In the board’s view, the modified plan will facilitate more accurate capture of the impacts of inflation over time.

Observing the continued volatility in both energy and financial markets, the board ruled that such inflation adjustments marked a significant improvement in the utility’s ARP. For the full story, Subscribe to URN.

Arkansas Urges Entergy Breakup

PSC says state’s consumers bear unfair burden

Weekly Update Courtesy of Utility Regulatory News #3969: Pointing to long-standing problems with cost allocations among the various operating companies of the Entergy Corp., the Arkansas Public Service Commission has again exhorted Entergy Arkansas, Inc. (EAI) to spin itself off from its parent company and become a stand-alone entity.

The commission had first raised the prospect of such a move in February 2010, when it initiated an investigation into EAI’s possible withdrawal from the Entergy operating system. The commission indicated that it would like to see EAI serve as an individual utility and join either the Midwest ISO or the Southwest Power Pool. Although EAI’s president had offered assurances at a recent PSC hearing that EAI was seriously examining the option of restructuring as a stand-alone company, the commission noted that reports in the press and public statements from EAI appeared to show otherwise.

The commission expressed concern that maintaining the status quo places Arkansas ratepayers at a disadvantage because a disproportionate amount of common costs from Entergy’s systemwide operations are assigned to EAI. Citing figures showing that Arkansas ratepayers have subsidized Entergy customers in other states by more than $4.5 billion in the last 20 years, the commission asserted that a spin-off of EAI as a stand-alone entity would be the best way to assure that such improper cost allocations do not continue. For the full story, Subscribe to URN.

ABB ‘bolts on’ Ventyx

Today ABB announced it would pay $1 billion to acquire Ventyx from equity firm Vista Equity Partners (see press release below). The deal values Ventyx at a healthy 4-times earnings ($250 million). During a conference call, ABB executives emphasized the company’s growth potential and the greater reach Ventyx would give ABB into smart-grid related software markets, particularly in the United States.

ABB emphasized the complementary competencies and market positions of the two companies (see slide). ABB-Ventyx Complementary Business ProfilesABB CEO Joe Hogan said the companies have almost no overlap in their businesses.

Hogan said the Ventyx acquisition will help ABB provide services in an under-served operational niche. “When you get into the nuts and bolts of utilities, which are areas we know well, companies like Oracle and SAP tend to have trouble,” Hogan said.

Interestingly executives made virtually no mention of Ventyx’s advisors group, which the company has been building for the past year. Lee Van Atta, a v.p. in the group, wrote “Gas Market Outlook” for Fortnightly’s April Energy Risk & Markets department.-MTB

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ZURICH, May 5, 2010: ABB, the global power and automation technology group, has agreed to acquire Ventyx for more than $1 billion from Vista Equity Partners to become a leading provider of software solutions for managing energy networks.

Ventyx, based in Atlanta, Georgia, is a leading software provider to global energy, utility, communications, and other asset-intensive businesses, offering a broad range of solutions including: asset management, mobile workforce management, energy trading and risk management, energy operations and energy analytics. The company also provides software solutions for planning and forecasting electricity needs, including renewables.

ABB will combine its related network management business within the Power Systems division, with Ventyx to form a single unit for energy management software solutions. By providing ABB with broader access to the utility enterprise management market, the acquisition triples the energy management software market available to ABB.

“The big advantage for energy companies, utilities and industrial customers is that they will now have a single supplier of enterprise-wide information technology platforms and power automation systems,” said Joe Hogan, ABB’s CEO. “The advantage for our shareholders is a cash-generating acquisition in an exciting growth market, with a strong management team, a highly complementary offering and geographic scope, and an attractive return on capital employed.”

Ventyx has a large installed base in the US market and Europe and operates in more than 40 countries. Its customers include leading power utilities in the United States and Europe as well as industrial businesses. The company employs 900 people and reported 2009 revenues of about $250 million.

The acquisition is in line with ABB’s strategy to pursue growth opportunities that complement the company’s product, technology and geographical portfolio. It is subject to customary regulatory approvals, and ABB expects the transaction to be completed in the second quarter. ABB intends to pay for the acquisition in cash.

“Combining Ventyx’s leading software suite with ABB’s systems and unparalleled domain knowledge of the power industry will create a business that is ideally placed to offer solutions that will help to meet the challenges of rapidly evolving energy networks,” said Vince Burkett, Ventyx CEO.

One of Ventyx’s key software applications gives utilities and grid operators the information they need to better match electricity generation with consumption, even at the household level. By generating real-time information on electricity demand, pricing and availability, Ventyx’s software enables a practical business model for utilities to generate revenues from smart grids and carbon trading.

Ventyx’s load forecasting software can also help to integrate large amounts of unpredictable renewable energies, such as wind and solar power. The company provides other asset management applications to fully integrate a utility’s business and enterprise systems across the entire value chain, and a comprehensive service suite to facilitate efficient resolution of network failures.

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Colin Powell, Ray Kurzweil and Other Tweets

By Michael T. Burr

If you were following @FortnightlyMag on Twitter last week, you saw a stream of tweets in real time from Accenture’s International Utility & Energy Conference in Tyson’s Corner, Va. Below is an edited selection of those tweets, most of which are paraphrased quotations from the speakers indicated.

Gen. Colin Powell, former U.S. Secretary of State (April 20, 2010)

-Energy is the second most powerful force. The free exchange of ideas is the first.

-Openness and democracy is the greatest weapon America has.

-China won’t become America’s enemy because they’re doing too well by being our partner.

-In my judgment and that of Kleiner Perkins, cars in America are moving to electricity. It’s a solution that makes sense.

-Fuel cells have a unique military application. #bloomenergy  

-Fuel cells are a breakthrough. Think of them like cell phones. #bloomenergy

-We need to be careful not to focus so much on terrorism that we forget what we can accomplish. Keep moving forward.

Ray Kurzweil, inventor and futurist (April 19, 2010)

-People tend to disregard new technologies in the early years of logarithmic growth.

-Exponential growth in IT is transforming every industry. Every industry will be an IT industry.

-Nanotechnology is inherently an information technology, subject to exponential growth.

-Solar and storage are the energy technologies that depend on nanotechnology, and they follow the law of accelerating returns.

-The cost per watt of photovoltaic cells is a function of nanotech progress.

-Solar energy production doubles every two years. In five years solar will reach the cost-per-watt crossover point and will be cost-competitive with the alternatives.

Electricity storage is a bit behind solar. It’ll be eight to nine years before storage is cost effective. In 10-20 years, it’s a whole different landscape.

-Decentralized power networks are inherently more stable than centralized networks.

-We’re destroying jobs at the bottom of the skill ladder and replacing them with eight times as many at the top.

Jonathan Silver, DOE loan program executive director (April 20, 2010)

-Government loans should finance technologies that private financing doesn’t support. When private financing comes in, DOE should get out.

-The worst thing for private financing isn’t a bad set of rules; it’s uncertainty about the rules.

-Clean tech investing is the driver of the VC industry today.

-[On Fortnightly’s question RE: FutureGen status and plans:] Expect progress. Next question?

Andy Karsner, former DOE Under-Secretary (April 20, 2010)

-Durable price signals are the most effective remedy for ‘capital constipation.’

-DOE has lost its focus on R&D toward scalable techs and is displacing private capital.

-Congress has two approaches to policymaking — do nothing or overreact.

-Congress is more likely to legislate energy policy in reaction to a crisis than it is to legislate with thoughtful deliberation.

-”No policy” is a lot cheaper than “bad policy.”

-The official US position on oil price policy is we don’t know and it’s out of our control.

Andy Serri, Ameren (April 20, 2010)

-In Washington, the loudest party, the last to speak, rules the day. Subject matter experts aren’t in the room.

Hugh McDermott, Better Place (April 19, 2010)

-As long as EV batteries carry a price premium, we will take that out of the equation w/ leasing.

Mark Case, Baltimore Gas & Electric (April 19, 2010)

-BG&E’s “no losers” rebate program nets the same peak reduction as critical peak pricing and gives 100% of customers immediate benefit.

-Peak rebate program will save customers $1,500 each over the 15 year meter lifespan.

Chris Colbert, UniStar (April 19, 2010)

-We haven’t started construction yet and Calvert Cliffs is already big: $600 million just for permitting & licensing.

-You have to convince yourself you’re not building just one reactor, but three or four.

-We’re not just building a project; we’re building up the whole nuclear industry again, including the NRC.

Gautham Chandra, Washington Gas Light (4/19/2010)

-We try to position ourselves to be the lowest cost platform to bring the best technology solutions to market.

-The regulatory tide is moving gradually toward DG and distributed control of the grid.

A.R. Mullinax, Duke Energy CIO (4/19/2010)

-We’re hedging our bets, investing in all the emerging solutions.

-Once you break the electricity storage barrier, everything changes.

Arthur Hanna, Accenture (4/19/2010)

-About 51% of US consumers say they don’t trust energy companies to make correct decisions to address US energy challenges.

-… Yet 2/3 say the industry is responsible to solve energy problems.

-The energy industry has a responsibility to take charge of educating consumers. If they don’t trust us, they’ll trust someone else.

Geoffrey Colvin, Fortune magazine (4/19/2010)

-The most successful companies are very good at creating new solutions for customers’ new problems.

Solar Losing its VC Shine

By Courtney Barry for Fortnightly’s PUB - Public Utilities Blog.

Word from Wall Street: Don’t overload on solar and wind.

According to the April 6, 2010, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research report Alternative Energy Perspective, investors are changing their aim “to look beyond wind and solar as opportunities broaden…Venture capital investments are becoming less solar-centric… [S]mart grid/energy efficiency provided the greatest number of deals in the quarter.”

That trend is echoed by the Cleantech Group of San Francisco, which provides updated industry market statistics on clean technology. While wind and solar PV project markets continue growing, due to extended tax credits, private equity and venture capital investing is a different story.

“Solar VC investment is a shadow of what it formerly was,” said Dallas Kachan of Cleantech. The firm shows that solar has fallen from its position as undisputed top sector for venture capital investment, which it held over much of the last few years, and now isn’t far off its three-year lows ($322 million in 27 deals). Kachan noted that comparable analysis for wind investments is difficult because wind receives an insignificant percentage of venture capital.

Meanwhile, smart grid and energy efficiency venture capital investments are on the upswing for the 1st quarter 2010. “We saw 11 venture investment deals in the first quarter of 2010 in smart grid,” Kachan said. “The total invested was $53 million. And we saw $217 million invested in the first quarter of 2010 into the energy efficiency category for a total of 39 deals.”

Some recent smart-grid private equity deals noted by Cleantech include KLG Systel of India, which provides solutions for IT and currently implements a real-time energy management system for one of India’s largest cement companies; and Daintree Networks, a U.S. company that provides wireless control solutions for commercial buildings. The top three energy-efficiency placements involved Lemnis Lighting of the Netherlands, specializing in sustainable lighting based on led technology; Wuhan HC Semitek, a Chinese high-tech company that manufactures and sells blue and green LED chips; and Luminus Devices, a U.S. manufacturer of solid state lighting for various illumination applications, including PhlatLight LEDS.

Why the trend? “There has been a tremendous amount of capital put into solar,” said Jeffrey Lipton, a managing director with investment bank Jefferies & Co. “A number of high profile companies got funded over the last three to five years, raising anywhere from $250 million to $1 billion dollars in private capital, and they haven’t reached large scale production yet — which is a very different type of proposition for private investors than what they’re used to.”

Moreover, PE and VC firms have been investing less money in wind energy recently, viewing the sector as more mature and consolidated than solar. “The investment in wind has been more around project or wind farm development, so the challenges are a bit different than solar, where names like Nanosolar, Miasole, Solyndra, etc., have each raised several hundred million dollars and still have not reached large scale commercial production.”

Compared to solar, investors view energy efficiency and smart grid opportunities as less risky and faster to bear fruit. They need less capital and have much shorter payback periods for customers in many instances, Lipton said. “Smart Grid is a different kind of investment because you don’t need to spend several million dollars to build the first plant. And people see energy efficiency as an attractive return-profile business, so that’s why there’s a focus on that. It’s a lot easier to use less energy than to build new capacity.”-Courtney Barry for Fortnightly’s PUB